LATEST PUBLICATIONS
PIDS EPM 2020-2021
Reset and Rebuild for a Better Philippines in the Post-pandemic World
DLSU-AKI Working Paper Series 2021-11-079
Examining and Evaluating the Multidimensional Energy Poverty Index (MEPI) in the Philippine Household Context
DLSU-AKI Working Paper Series 2021-11-078
A Game Theoretic Study on CSR and Government Intervention for Sustainable Production
DLSU-AKI Working Paper Series 2021-11-077
Obstacles to Economic Freedom Affecting Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) in Southeast Asian Countries

LATEST AV MATERIALS
PIDS WB 2021-1104
Assessing the Philippines' Performance in Meeting the ASEAN Economic Community Vision 2025
PIDS WB 2021-1103
Examining The Health Impacts Of The COVID-19 Pandemic In The Philippines
ILS-AVP-01
ILS 30th Anniversary Video
PIDS WB 2021-1102
Evaluating the Pantawid Pamilyang Pilipino Program's Payment System
Publication Detail
SEARCA PGPA 2013 12: Scenarios and Options for Productivity Growth in Philippine Agriculture: An Application of the Agricultural Multi-market Model for Policy Evaluation (AMPLE)

Sustaining and accelerating agricultural growth remain a development imperative in view of the persistent rural poverty and emerging threats to food security. Currently, agricultural policy is skewed toward domestic protection for self-sufficiency and production support through subsidies rather than toward raising productivity. However, growth through expansion of inputs (including land area) may be less sustainable compared with growth through improvement in productivity. In this study, the scenarios for Philippine agriculture under alternative development strategies were evaluated using a new supply and demand model, i.e., the Agricultural Multi-market Model for Policy Evaluation. The model simulations suggest that under the business-as-usual or the reference scenario, agricultural growth is headed for a slowdown. Trade liberalization alone has a mixed impact, with the prominent agricultural importables suffering a contraction. On the other hand, accelerated growth in productivity is a potent strategy to restore output growth, leading to improved outlook on production, exports, and consumption, even when combined with trade liberalization. The productivity route toward growth may be based on a mix of traditional and innovative instruments such as investments in R&D, extension, rural infrastructure, protection of the resource base of agriculture as well as human capital formation, and institutional reforms.

Southeast Asian Regional Center for Graduate Study and Research in Agriculture
Authors Keywords
Roehlano M. Briones; AMPLE; productivity growth; agricultural development; PGPA; supply and demand; scenario analysis;
Download PDF Number of Downloads
Published in 2013 and available in the SEARCA K-Shop or Downloaded 157 times since December 04, 2018
×
Please let us know your reason for downloading this publication. May we also ask you to provide additional information that will help us serve you better? Rest assured that your answers will not be shared with any outside parties. It will take you only two minutes to complete the survey. Thank you.


To use as reference:
If others, (Please specify):
Name: (optional)
Email: (required, but will not display)
Age:
Gender:
If Prefer to self-describe, please specify:
Level of Education:
Occupation:
If employed either part-time or full-time, name of office:
If others, (Please specify):
Would you like to receive the SERP-P UPDATES e-newsletter? Yes No
Use the space below if you have any comment about this publication or SERP-P knowledge resources in general.