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UPSE DP 1999-14: Estimating the Philippine Government's Exposure to and Risk from Contingent Liabilities in Infrastructure Projects

In its desire for closure in critical infrastructure projects undertaken by the private sector, the Philippine government has routinely assumed various risks by way of guarantees. These guarantees not only relate to core guarantees associated with infrastructure projects, such as market and construction risks. This paper argues that the present practice of estimating , monitoring and accounting for government exposure and assumption of risk severely understates the true exposure of risk arising from unfettered provision of guarantees. Alternative modalities for estimating exposure and risk are initially proposed , and these are drawn from applications in the financial sector. nevertheless, further refinements in techniques and methods are needed.

UP-School of Economics
Authors Keywords
Reside, Renato E.; infrastructure; infrastructure development; contingent liabilities;
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